Construção de um aplicativo para simulação e análise de crescimento de manchas como subsídio ao planejamento e gestão ambiental

Abstract

The growth of urban areas is a phenomenon that has been observed in many parts of the world. This growth has several implications for the environment. The expansion of urban sprawl contributes to the removal of vegetation and environmental degradation. In order to control and reduce the negative environmental effects it is important to study the growth of the cities to identify the key factors that contribute to its acceleration and also to identify key growth trends. To study the growth of cities it is important to develop the tools to visualize and describe the urban growth. The objective of this project was to develop an application to simulate the growth of urban sprawl, and to establish whether it is possible to simulate the growth of an urban area from previous information on the growth of the same urban area. This paper presents the development process, validation and implementation of an application to conduct simulations of urban concentration expansion. The application was developed using Matlab. At the end, the developed application was tested and the conclusion was that it is possible to simulate satisfactorily the growth of large scale urban areas based on previous information on the growth of the same urban area.